Income and Interest Rate Determination
in a Closed Economy:

A Mathematical Formulation

 

The Product Market

Assume the economy produces only one commodity, y, which is used either for consumption or investment.

Equilibrium condition y = c + i + g (1)
Consumption function c = c0 + cyyd (2)
Investment behavior i = i0 + irr (3)
Disposable income yd = y - t (4)
Tax function t = t0 + tyy (5)
where
y = real income/output
yd = real income after tax
c = real private consumption
i = real private investment
r = rate of interest
t = tax
and
0 < cy < 1
0 < ty < 1
ir < 0

Substituting (2), (3), (4) and (5) into (1) yields

y = c0 + cy[y - (t0 + tyy)] + i0 + irr + g (6)

Rearranging the result, one gets

1 - cy(1 - ty) 1
r = ------------- y - ----- [c0 + i0 + g - cyt0] (7)
ir ir

Equation (7) expresses the relationship between r and y that results in equilibrium in the product market given values of autonomous expenditure (c0, i0, g and t0), and is known as the IS curve.

The slope of the IS curve is [1 - cy(1 - ty)] / ir and takes a negative value (the curve slopes downward from left to right), as 0 < cy < 1 and 0 < ty < 1.

The intercept of the IS curve is - [c0 + i0 + g - cyt0] / ir, which is a positive value, as ir < 0 and 0 < cy < 1.

An increase in autonomous expenditure (c0, i0, and g) will shift IS curve to the right while an increase in t0 will shift the curve to the left, as - 1 / ir > 0.

The Money Market

Money Market Equilibrium Md = Ms (8)
Demand for Money Md / P = L0 + Lyy + Lrr (9)
Supply of Money Ms = lB (10)

Where
Md = Nominal money demand
Ms = Nominal money supply
P = Price level or implicit price deflator
B = Monetary base
l = Money multiplier

Substituting (9) and (10) into (8), one obtains

L0 + Lyy + Lrr = lB/P (11)

Or

r = ( / Lr)B/P - L0 / Lr-(Ly / Lr)y (12)

Equation (11) expresses the relationship of r and y that results in equilibrium in the money market, given values of l, B, P and L0, and is known as the LM curve.

The slope of the LM curve is - Ly / Lr and is positive (ie the curve slopes upward from left to right), as Ly > 0 Lr < 0

And its intercept is (l / Lr)B/P - L0 / Lr An increase in monetary base, or a reduction in the price level will shift the LM curve to the right as l / PLr < 0.

Equilibrium in the Product and Money Market

From (7), the equilibrium in the product market is

    r = (1 - cy(1 - ty))y / ir - (c0 + i0 + g - cyt0) / ir

From (12), the equilibrium in the money market is

    r = (l/Lr)B/P - (L0/Lr) - (Ly / Lr)y

Solving these two equations for y and r, one obtains

ir[lB/PLr - L0/Lr + (c0 + i0 + g - cyt0)/ir]
Y = --------------------------------------------------- (13)
1 - cy(1 - ty) + irLy/Lr

[1 - cy(1 - ty)]lB/PLy - L0/Ly - (c0 + i0 + g - cyt0)
r = --------------------------------------------------- (14)
[1 - cy(1 - ty)]Lr/Ly + ir

which is the income and interest rate determination equation respectively. Here, both income and interest rate are determined by real money stock (lB/P), and real autonomous expenditure (c0, i0, g and t0).

An increase in government expenditure (or other autonomous expenditure) would lead to an increase in income and interest rate as

    Dy / Dg = 1 / [1 - cy(1 - ty) + (irLy / Lr)] > 0
    Dr / Dg = -1 / [{1 - cy(1 - ty)}(Lr/Ly) + ir] > 0

An increase in monetary base will lead to an increase in income and a fall in the rate of interest as

    Dy / DB = irl / [1 - cy(1 - ty/) + (irLy / Lr)]LrP > 0
    Dr / DB = l / [{irLy / (1 - cy(1 - ty))} + Lr]P < 0

 

 

 

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